General Will we make the 8?

[juju]

You know wot I meant lol.

Sucks though...these bye rounds. Trying to get excited about this weeks games.

I've been saying this as a Dad joke at my house all week.
"I have a feeling the Warriors won't lose this weekend"

I've been looking forward to the bye to get a break from the stress - now we have a bye I miss them. We're sick...

 

[CWC]

The thread should be renamed ‘will we make top 2’.

Too 4 is almost locked in with our draw and the gap. Our mindset needs to be about what the other top 4 teams are doing and their draw.

Starting up the debate again, could the PD determine 2nd/3rd?

If we replicate 2023's 10:1 style run home then our PD will beat Raiders/Dogs, though Raiders will probably take out No.1 due to their soft draw and 3 byes in hand, they've done all the hard work now.

So it's down to us, dogs and storm, I see the dogs will fall off with about 9 tough games coming up, and storm as the real threat as their PD will probably be in the +200-300 range, to hold them off we should do it with 8:3 (they have to win 10:2) or 9:2 (storm have to win 11:1, highly unlikely)

To get to 8:3 if we beat all the bottom 8 sides we'll get there, IMO last game vs Manly away and DCE's last might be too tough, so 7 wins plus 1 against Panthers will be enough, jag 1 more from Brisbane or Canterbury we're a lock for top 2.

 

[Sammyw]

looking at the teams run in, i think the raiders are a shoe in for minor premiership, 3 byes remaining and a soft as hell fixture list. our aim should be top 2, back to back home finals with the second one being a GF qualifier. if we can snatch a win against an origin-less panthers side then a resurgent brisbane before our next by we should absolutely be finishing in the top2

 

[Canonball]

For me, the top 4 is unlikely to change given the gap that has started to emerge. So the real uncertainty is 5th-8th. If sharks lose against the dragons (unlikely but possible) and phins beat cows (likely imo), there will be 2 pts separating 5th -12th and a whopping 6 pts separating 4th and 5th. That creates an interesting dynamic in which there are essentially 2 separate competitions: i) within the top 4, who gets to finish in the top 2 and ii) for the 8 teams from 5-12, who gets to nab the 4 positions in the bottom half of the 8.

From our perspective, we need to do everything to push for a top 2 finish. To make the GF, we probably need to have a home final in week 3, not week 2. That is much easier if we finish in the top 2 and have a home final in week 1 as well. We've set ourselves nicely for that with our amazing first half of the year.

The other thing is that we know we can do it now - up until a couple of games ago I think we were still, 'phew, that was lucky' - we're making our own luck now and we're only getting better - touching wood and hoping against hope we don't have other major personnel issues (even so we have shown the squad mentality is really delivering), we're realistically fighting for top spot now - that's amazing, and I'm here for every moment of it

 

[Gummy bear]

If we replicate 2023's 10:1 style run home then our PD will beat Raiders/Dogs, though Raiders will probably take out No.1 due to their soft draw and 3 byes in hand, they've done all the hard work now.

So it's down to us, dogs and storm, I see the dogs will fall off with about 9 tough games coming up, and storm as the real threat as their PD will probably be in the +200-300 range, to hold them off we should do it with 8:3 (they have to win 10:2) or 9:2 (storm have to win 11:1, highly unlikely)

To get to 8:3 if we beat all the bottom 8 sides we'll get there, IMO last game vs Manly away and DCE's last might be too tough, so 7 wins plus 1 against Panthers will be enough, jag 1 more from Brisbane or Canterbury we're a lock for top 2.

yes , looking at r15 onwards for the current top 4, Raiders have the softest draw and would be a good bet for MP.
We are next , then both the Storm and bulldogs have quite a tough run home. I think #2 spot is ours to loose.

 

[Dlenai]

View: https://www.instagram.com/reel/DKyxty5P_6g/?igsh=MTV6amZjZGpreG9hZg==

An insight to what I’ve noticed on the field - never seen a Warriors team so connected on the field until this season

 

[juju]

I was bored and going through the rd 15 ladder throughout the years.

By far the most common win loss ratio we've had is 6 - 8
It recurs a lot.

 

[sup42]

I was bored and going through the rd 15 ladder throughout the years.

By far the most common win loss ratio we've had is 6 - 8
It recurs a lot.

Apreciate the digging round in a bye. We are all tryna find stuff to do eh lol.

I have been watching the 2002 side.

Stacey Jones was amazing.

 

[CWC]

I was bored and going through the rd 15 ladder throughout the years.

By far the most common win loss ratio we've had is 6 - 8
It recurs a lot.

 

[Lance155]

looking at the teams run in, i think the raiders are a shoe in for minor premiership, 3 byes remaining and a soft as hell fixture list. our aim should be top 2, back to back home finals with the second one being a GF qualifier. if we can snatch a win against an origin-less panthers side then a resurgent brisbane before our next by we should absolutely be finishing in the top2

Completely agree, something catastrophic would have to happen for them to not finish top from here

 

[Tookey 2.0]

Completely agree, something catastrophic would have to happen for them to not finish top from here

On one hand I agree with you, but then on the other this is genuinely one of the toughest competitions in the world - there's no easy wins and every single week there are usually 2-5 upsets.

Us, Raiders and Bulldogs have decent draws to end the year and should see us win enough to stay in the top 4, but you just know there's going to be a few twists and turns.

If Raiders shit the bed I have a sneaky feeling that it's going to be us who benefit the most.

Year of the ambush baby

 

[FormerlyJamesW]

If Raiders shit the bed I have a sneaky feeling that it's going to be us who benefit the most.

You're correct.

But, like us, they just look different this year.

 

[Po11um]

It's likely to be the warriors, raiders, bulldogs & storm top4 in no particular order.
history suggests one of those teams will win the premiership.

 

[3rdstriker]

If we replicate 2023's 10:1 style run home then our PD will beat Raiders/Dogs, though Raiders will probably take out No.1 due to their soft draw and 3 byes in hand, they've done all the hard work now.

So it's down to us, dogs and storm, I see the dogs will fall off with about 9 tough games coming up, and storm as the real threat as their PD will probably be in the +200-300 range, to hold them off we should do it with 8:3 (they have to win 10:2) or 9:2 (storm have to win 11:1, highly unlikely)

To get to 8:3 if we beat all the bottom 8 sides we'll get there, IMO last game vs Manly away and DCE's last might be too tough, so 7 wins plus 1 against Panthers will be enough, jag 1 more from Brisbane or Canterbury we're a lock for top 2.

Apart from Barnett out, imo i reckon we have a firmer foundation to go deeper into the finals this year than 2023 bar injury,
It's reminiscent of 2002.

 

[3rdstriker]

Apreciate the digging round in a bye. We are all tryna find stuff to do eh lol.

I have been watching the 2002 side.

Stacey Jones was amazing.

2002 was epic such a pity it wasn't sustainable, in terms of Anderson and the pathways etc.
Cleary with the boot was good and Tookey off the back fence was a crowd favourite, Ericson was packed then too.

 

[Wah's Up]

View: https://www.instagram.com/reel/DKyxty5P_6g/?igsh=MTV6amZjZGpreG9hZg==

An insight to what I’ve noticed on the field - never seen a Warriors team so connected on the field until this season

I have not only noticed it on the field but also off the field, social media has been great.
The big upside from Webby has been "MAN Management" i.e. Fish has brought that training ethic and hardness to the team, Barney has brought that "We move as a team" ethic and the CNK and DWZ have brought the fun and bonding after a torrid game. Watching the team singing the team song is awesome.

 

[Makasene]

Starting up the debate again, could the PD determine 2nd/3rd?

Very unlikely.

And if it were close enough to matter it would not be more important than the fact we have lost twice to the 2nd place team.

 

[Leighton Rhino]

Canberra raiders have the softer draw home so favour them for minor premiership

Yeah I think they are looking likely

Would love us to have a run and do it though