Does NZ then become an island for Union in the southern hemisphere? With Union on life support in oz who is left to drive interest in the region? If the only focus is on the super 14 etc (not sure what it's called this year) I feel like the door is wide open for NRL to win nz hearts and minds. What's NZ rugby's long game from here?
I think you will continue to see improvement from the Island nations, especially if they reduce the stand down protocol for dual internationals.
You only have to look at the improvement of Fiji which is largely down to the Drua in Super Rugby.
Union as a whole in NZ is in a pickle with what seems to be a long overdue review of the NPC but there is enough talent and love for the ABs for them to continue as the #1 in the country
The last 4 years have been about the very worst in terms of performance and yet they continue to sell out every single game.
In terms of the NRL in NZ, I think it won hearts and minds long ago but it is the on field performance and emerging cultural identity of the Warriors that can make the biggest advancement for Rugby League which is not just the NRL.