General Will we make the 8?

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The forum discussion centers on the New Zealand Warriors' prospects for NRL finals qualification, particularly the feasibility of securing a Top 4 or Top 8 spot amid fluctuating form and injuries. Early optimism highlighted the team's strong start to the season, with members calculating points targets for finals contention and analyzing favorable run-home fixtures against lower-ranked teams #1#3. User analysis emphasized that winning 6-7 of their remaining games could secure a Top 4 finish #3#97, while statistical models projected an 80.4% probability of Top 4 and 98.4% for Top 8 #47#52.
The narrative shifted significantly following key injuries to players like Mitchell Barnett season-ending and later Luke Metcalf, which intensified concerns about depth and performance sustainability #8#147#170. Critical posts debated the team's resilience, with some arguing replacements like Dylan Walker and Taine Tuaupiki could maintain competitiveness #29#177, while others warned that further injuries could jeopardize their ladder position #94#163.
Ladder predictions evolved throughout the thread, initially favoring a Top 2 push but later acknowledging challenges after losses to Penrith and Brisbane #132#154. The Raiders were frequently cited as minor premiership favorites due to their soft draw and bye advantages #64#135. By the later stages, the focus pivoted to securing any finals berth, with users noting that even 2 more wins should suffice for Top 8 qualification given the congested lower half of the ladder #203351#213. Noteworthy analyses included breakdowns of opposing teams’ run-home difficulty #66#139 and reflections on the psychological impact of late-season slumps #186#205.

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Finals Qualification, Injury Impact, Ladder Predictions

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Just did the NRL predictor .... Are point Diff could see us miss out on the 8 ... if we don't win at least one match with other matches going are way mostly if Phins WIN tonight they don't continue to win ..~!!

So many important games for many teams ...IMHO I think we surely can WIN least one of the last 3x games EELS ? or TITS ? get that 34pts and we are in .. BUT if Phins upset a team like the Raiders point D will see us out ...

But another crazy game will be the last round 27 Dragoons Vs Panthers ...I had Panthers sitting in 4th, but if they lose to the Dragoons >>> out of the 8 !! and that could see us in the 8 ,,even losing TITs + Manly games !!
 
Rorters, Sharks and Broncos have tightened up the race.
I can feel their breath down my spine as they run towards the final rounds. But we have the points on the board and as long as we win one more we are top eight.
Thankfully a depleted Broncos showed the Phins how to play.
Broncos always used to be one of my pet hate teams but the "Phins" and the dirty tactics they employ have become my least liked team.
Lets eat the Tits this week.
 
Rorters, Sharks and Broncos have tightened up the race.
I can feel their breath down my spine as they run towards the final rounds. But we have the points on the board and as long as we win one more we are top eight.
Thankfully a depleted Broncos showed the Phins how to play.
Broncos always used to be one of my pet hate teams but the "Phins" and the dirty tactics they employ have become my least liked team.
Lets eat the Tits this week.
What are the Phin's dirty tactics?
 
Rorters, Sharks and Broncos have tightened up the race.
I can feel their breath down my spine as they run towards the final rounds. But we have the points on the board and as long as we win one more we are top eight.
Thankfully a depleted Broncos showed the Phins how to play.
Broncos always used to be one of my pet hate teams but the "Phins" and the dirty tactics they employ have become my least liked team.
Lets eat the Tits this week.
I would've thought the Bulldogs were the grubbiest team, or maybe the Storm i haven't noticed much dirty phins tactics just blistering attack with turnstile type defensive structures in place.
 
With Manly losing only the Dolphins in 9th can knock us out of the 8. However Dolphins next three games areL
25) Manly who are shot
26) Titans
27) Raiders who will rest half their team

Dolphins are highly likely to win their three last games. Warriors really need to win next weekend vs Titans, I am hoping Titans have given up on the season.
 
I would've thought the Bulldogs were the grubbiest team, or maybe the Storm i haven't noticed much dirty phins tactics just blistering attack with turnstile type defensive structures in place.
I think it's about Kaufusi, and Stone, and Kerr, for example - they push it with their tackle technique often
 
With Manly losing only the Dolphins in 9th can knock us out of the 8. However Dolphins next three games areL
25) Manly who are shot
26) Titans
27) Raiders who will rest half their team

Dolphins are highly likely to win their three last games. Warriors really need to win next weekend vs Titans, I am hoping Titans have given up on the season.
Yeah, I think the way it works from here on out is that if the Dolphins lose one more game that's pretty much the 8 teams currently in the top spots which will go through, in whatever order
 
With Manly losing only the Dolphins in 9th can knock us out of the 8. However Dolphins next three games areL
25) Manly who are shot
26) Titans
27) Raiders who will rest half their team

Dolphins are highly likely to win their three last games. Warriors really need to win next weekend vs Titans, I am hoping Titans have given up on the season.
Roosters are the other team to look at in the equation, if they drop 2 of their last 3 we are safe with no more wins, on form they should win 2 of them fairly comfortably
 
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