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The forum discussion centers on the New Zealand Warriors' prospects for NRL finals qualification, particularly the feasibility of securing a Top 4 or Top 8 spot amid fluctuating form and injuries. Early optimism highlighted the team's strong start to the season, with members calculating points targets for finals contention and analyzing favorable run-home fixtures against lower-ranked teams #1#3. User analysis emphasized that winning 6-7 of their remaining games could secure a Top 4 finish #3#97, while statistical models projected an 80.4% probability of Top 4 and 98.4% for Top 8 #47#52.
The narrative shifted significantly following key injuries to players like Mitchell Barnett season-ending and later Luke Metcalf, which intensified concerns about depth and performance sustainability #8#147#170. Critical posts debated the team's resilience, with some arguing replacements like Dylan Walker and Taine Tuaupiki could maintain competitiveness #29#177, while others warned that further injuries could jeopardize their ladder position #94#163.
Ladder predictions evolved throughout the thread, initially favoring a Top 2 push but later acknowledging challenges after losses to Penrith and Brisbane #132#154. The Raiders were frequently cited as minor premiership favorites due to their soft draw and bye advantages #64#135. By the later stages, the focus pivoted to securing any finals berth, with users noting that even 2 more wins should suffice for Top 8 qualification given the congested lower half of the ladder #203351#213. Noteworthy analyses included breakdowns of opposing teams’ run-home difficulty #66#139 and reflections on the psychological impact of late-season slumps #186#205.
Finals Qualification, Injury Impact, Ladder Predictions
This is the best way to look at it haha.equation is simple, beat the shittest team in the comp to stay in the 4 and lock down a finals spot. if we dont win, we dont deserve it. regardless of the injuries
If it makes u feel any better Sportsbet aren’t even running odds on us to miss the 8 anymore- prior to manly losing we were paying $1.01Ah crap. We can still drop out of the 8. A lot less likely now but still possible. My PTSD has kicked right back in.
The final minute of the dolphins game really could still be season definingIt would be final destination 7 for us to miss the 8 now
Stranger things have happenedIt would be final destination 7 for us to miss the 8 now
Obviously want us to stay in the 4 but can't see it happening personally. However, out of the current top 4 teams I'd much rather play the Raiders in the first week.haven't looked at the ladder predictor until now:
Win 3 and go to Canberra in the 1-4, who though they are better than us, ALL the pressure would be on them, ambush potential
Win 2 and getting one of Roosters or Broncos at home in the 5-8, more talented teams, but erratic, would have some sort of winning form.
Win 1 and similar story but in the 6-7, and in worse form.
Win 0 and we 8th and dog tucker no matter who we play.
View: https://www.reddit.com/r/nrl/comments/1mvvrx9/bs_power_rankings_round_25_2025/
I like this guys power rankings.
Also has what results need to happen for each team still in contention to make the 8 and the percentage of making either the Top 4 or Top 8.
I just noticed we're out of the top 4. Lose this weekend and we could end up 6th.
Cronulla have the bye this weekend & are currently in 4th placeI just noticed we're out of the top 4. Lose this weekend and we could end up 6th.
Effectively, they’ve played and won their game of the round, we have a game in hand thus the destiny is still all in our control. We are in quite a good position as far as ladder and fixtures are concerned. If the players stop giving away penalties and stop dropping the fkn ball we will win 3/3 and finish even in 3rd. Rugby league is that simple.Cronulla have the bye this weekend & are currently in 4th place
AbsolutelyEffectively, they’ve played and won their game of the round, we have a game in hand thus the destiny is still all in our control. We are in quite a good position as far as ladder and fixtures are concerned. If the players stop giving away penalties and stop dropping the fkn ball we will win 3/3 and finish even in 3rd. Rugby league is that simple.
Is Laban a chance to be back from a broken leg in 4 weeks?Webby probably looking at this for R1
1. CNK
2. DWZ
3. Berry
4. Pompey
5. RTS
6. CHT
7. TMM/Boyd
8. Fish
9. Egan
10. Ford
11. Cape
12. Marata
13. Clark
14. Healey/TMM
15. Laban
16. Demi
17. Leka
Reckon if he rearranges Marata to the front, Leka starts and Ford off the bench we get the most bang for the buck, Ford and Laban will be fresh