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The forum discussion centers on the New Zealand Warriors' prospects for NRL finals qualification, particularly the feasibility of securing a Top 4 or Top 8 spot amid fluctuating form and injuries. Early optimism highlighted the team's strong start to the season, with members calculating points targets for finals contention and analyzing favorable run-home fixtures against lower-ranked teams #1#3. User analysis emphasized that winning 6-7 of their remaining games could secure a Top 4 finish #3#97, while statistical models projected an 80.4% probability of Top 4 and 98.4% for Top 8 #47#52.
The narrative shifted significantly following key injuries to players like Mitchell Barnett season-ending and later Luke Metcalf, which intensified concerns about depth and performance sustainability #8#147#170. Critical posts debated the team's resilience, with some arguing replacements like Dylan Walker and Taine Tuaupiki could maintain competitiveness #29#177, while others warned that further injuries could jeopardize their ladder position #94#163.
Ladder predictions evolved throughout the thread, initially favoring a Top 2 push but later acknowledging challenges after losses to Penrith and Brisbane #132#154. The Raiders were frequently cited as minor premiership favorites due to their soft draw and bye advantages #64#135. By the later stages, the focus pivoted to securing any finals berth, with users noting that even 2 more wins should suffice for Top 8 qualification given the congested lower half of the ladder #203351#213. Noteworthy analyses included breakdowns of opposing teams’ run-home difficulty #66#139 and reflections on the psychological impact of late-season slumps #186#205.
Finals Qualification, Injury Impact, Ladder Predictions
At least we're not in the negatives here cuz.
At least we're not in the negatives here cuz.
Thats pretty much been the case all season hasnt it? Attack's been pretty dire.... Even when Metcalf was available.
Thats pretty much been the case all season hasnt it? Even when Metcalf was available.
One wonders when recruitment reaches the tipping point between playing the grinding game and a lack of strike in that backline.
Where abouts are we going.Where we are going. We don’t need a PD.
Where abouts are we going.
666Don’t worry we are playing the titans in Gold Coast
I still remember the titans from last year![]()
I ended up @KfcheerWell, I’m going to Maccas. Not sure about you guys.
Be careful....youll have the "defeatist, happy to accept mediocrity" crowd on your ass with that sort of talkFair bit of doom and gloom around here but for me, I had us 8th- 10th with our squad at the start of the year so considering all the injuries, to have a finals spot sewed up with 3 games to go and still in the hunt for top 4 that’s a fantastic effort imho.
Anything from here on in is a bonus.
Be careful....youll have the "defeatist, happy to accept mediocrity" crowd on your ass with that sort of talk![]()
And like the ex wife they think you have a salary cap of 30 million.That lot remind me of an ex wife. Give em an inch, they'll take the whole house.
Totally devoid of perspective and reality.
Yes & could very easily come down to sudden death Round 27 against the Sea Eagles in DCE’s final ever game at Brookie…We need one more win to sew up a finals spot due to our low PD
Titans home record is 2-8 surely we have to target this next round to get it done. Rather than leave it all to the last round. It is funny that our realistic goal is making the 8 rather than any discussion about making the top 4.Yes & could very easily come down to sudden death Round 27 against the Sea Eagles in DCE’s final ever game at Brookie…
Well, I’m going to Maccas. Not sure about you guys.
I ended up @Kfcheer