Politics πŸ—³οΈ NZ Politics

I see the state is going to build a LNG plant here/infrastructure in New Plymouth.
Dumb idea and the FE report on it made a lot of sense to me.
With Huntly running at full capacity on Coal (cheaper than LNG will ever be) it will require all the Gas fired plants around the country to be re-commissioned.
And, no way in hell will this reduce our power bills.
Would have been better off throwing a billion into exploration on the basis of getting some equity partners to share the risk.
Wind and solar have to be firmed by something and fast peaker gas plants are an energy companies dream. Fast start up and spin down and is the price setter when wind and solar fall over, leading to massive price (aka profit spikes)

Here’s South Australia spiking to the price cap ($20,000/MWh) for 2.5rs last month.
IMG_2350.webp
 
And the sewage? Neoliberalist ideology enforced privatisation resulting in Veolia profit stripping and under investing
Apparently not. WCC minutes in 2021 show that there were options presented under the 10 year plan to spend several million on upgrading water infrastructure or bike lanes.
Tabatha Paul nominated bike lanes and the vote was carried
Minutes are archived
And to add, companies like Veolia, ABB etc are generally operations and maintenance organisations. Capital expenditure is still the responsibility of the owner, in this case WCC
 
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It's interesting that no one on bsky ever complains that our election results are always biased towards the left anyway.... according to the latest Electoral Commission data, there are 3,287,971 people registered on the general roll and 303,911 people registered on the Maori roll. At the next election, there will be 64 general seats and 7 Maori seats.

So that equates to an average of just under 51,500 voters for each general seat and just under 43,500 voters for each Maori seat. If the number of voters was the same for all the electorates, there would either be only 6 Maori seats or 76 general seats.

Election results always start with the left one seat ahead.

Not that it matters to me.... I'm voting for Team Opposed to Pussy Protection.
The math on registrations is right, but the conclusion is missing one important piece of context: Maori seats can be contested by any party.
They’re not β€œleft seats” built into the system. If a party’s policies don’t attract māori votes, that’s a party policy choice.

It’s also worth understanding the MMP system, which was brought in to better balance representation.
Electorate seats are direct representation and are treated as untouchable; list MP proportionality is adjusted around them, not through them.
Because MMP correctly prioritises electorate seats, you can get what’s called an overhang.
An overhang happens when a party wins electorate seats but doesn’t reach the party vote threshold.
The system doesn’t remove electorate MPs, because they were directly elected. Instead, Parliament becomes slightly larger.

This has happened 4 times since MMP started in 1996, and in 3 of those cases the overhang seats supported the Govt that formed.
Twice they supported a National led Govt (2008 and 2011), and once they supported a Labour led Govt (2005).
The other time was 2023, and the party sits in opposition. So if we’re being nitpicky, the seat discrepancy so far has actually benefited the β€œright” more than the β€œleft”.
 
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Yeah, isn't English wonderful lol. Grammatically should have been you weren't ok
Grammar Police - NeatoShop




as you were Rick


 
It's interesting that no one on bsky ever complains that our election results are always biased towards the left anyway.... according to the latest Electoral Commission data, there are 3,287,971 people registered on the general roll and 303,911 people registered on the Maori roll. At the next election, there will be 64 general seats and 7 Maori seats.

So that equates to an average of just under 51,500 voters for each general seat and just under 43,500 voters for each Maori seat. If the number of voters was the same for all the electorates, there would either be only 6 Maori seats or 76 general seats.

Election results always start with the left one seat ahead.

Not that it matters to me.... I'm voting for Team Opposed to Pussy Protection.
Rizzah as always has replied very articulately, but could you elaborate on how you think election results are always biased towards the left?

I don't come to that conclusion from what you've written Mike, there's at least one giant assumption in there.
 
Silence from the anti tax brigade on this new tax that will send electricity bills even higher to pay for fossil fuel regression

View attachment 15715

Oh dear…. I wonder where the $14 billion plus for Labour’s proposed Lake Onslow battery was going to from. Surely, not from Tax Payers.

I wonder what would happen if the power generators instead paid a lower dividend to share holders? Or used money for planned new generation development to pay it. Of course, the money could only come from the tax payer.
 
Oh dear…. I wonder where the $14 billion plus for Labour’s proposed Lake Onslow battery was going to from. Surely, not from Tax Payers.

I wonder what would happen if the power generators instead paid a lower dividend to share holders? Or used money for planned new generation development to pay it. Of course, the money could only come from the tax payer.
Hilarious :)

One is a renewable energy source, the other is a regression back to the stone age. No guessing which the righties on here love.
 
Apparently not. WCC minutes in 2021 show that there were options presented under the 10 year plan to spend several million on upgrading water infrastructure or bike lanes.
Tabatha Paul nominated bike lanes and the vote was carried
Minutes are archived
And to add, companies like Veolia, ABB etc are generally operations and maintenance organisations. Capital expenditure is still the responsibility of the owner, in this case WCC
Sure. Not sure who Tabatha Paul is, but Tamatha Paul was a councillor during that time.

You mean a democratic decision by the Wellington Council? Not the person nominating it, a council decision?

If only three waters had passed eh?

And you mention operations - that's a great call, let's look at that.

Yep, the problem has been exacerbated by decades of nimby (not in my budget year) I'm-a-boomer-so-let's-defer-the-cost inaction on all sides.

And then there's Veolia, a privatise profit and socialise cost rapacious vampire corporation.

Pretty lame to try and attribute it to a democratic council decision that doesn't consume oil or coal.


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Here's an intelligent comment from a different article too
1770702009307.webp
 
Oh dear…. I wonder where the $14 billion plus for Labour’s proposed Lake Onslow battery was going to from. Surely, not from Tax Payers.

I wonder what would happen if the power generators instead paid a lower dividend to share holders? Or used money for planned new generation development to pay it. Of course, the money could only come from the tax payer.
Government spending doesn’t come from taxes.
Operationally, when the NZ Govt spends, Treasury instructs the RBNZ to credit settlement accounts at commercial banks.
New money is created at the point of spending.
Taxes withdraw money from the economy after the spending.
Bonds (β€œGovt debt”) manage the liquidity in the banking reserves system that spending creates. This is part of monetary policy.
Critically, neither taxes nor bonds fund spending.

The sequencing is explicit in RBNZ documentation.
Orthodox fiscal framing gets this sequencing wrong, which is why the debate keeps getting stuck on β€œwho pays” instead of β€œwhat’s possible”.

The Govt issues the currency. It can always meet obligations denominated in NZD.
The constraint isn’t tax revenue, gentailer dividends, or shareholder payouts.
It’s real resources: engineers, materials, project management capability, grid integration, and delivery capacity.

So the $14 billion Lake Onslow question isn’t β€œwhere does the money come from?” It’s whether it’s a good project and whether NZ has, or is willing to build, the capacity to deliver it without creating bottlenecks.
It's a resource and capability question, not a taxpayer one.
 
Sure. Not sure who Tabatha Paul is, but Tamatha Paul was a councillor during that time.

You mean a democratic decision by the Wellington Council? Not the person nominating it, a council decision?

If only three waters had passed eh?

And you mention operations - that's a great call, let's look at that.

Yep, the problem has been exacerbated by decades of nimby (not in my budget year) I'm-a-boomer-so-let's-defer-the-cost inaction on all sides.

And then there's Veolia, a privatise profit and socialise cost rapacious vampire corporation.

Pretty lame to try and attribute it to a democratic council decision that doesn't consume oil or coal.


View attachment 15723


Here's an intelligent comment from a different article too
View attachment 15724
Shit, I apologise. I didn't realise us Boomers were responsible for Wellingtons Sewage woes. I honestly meant to pay my rates when i was there.
Perhaps a closer look at the council make up over the last 20 years might explain a lot. Not too many Boomers on there but seems to be a rather Green tinge. Slightly less now that the Mayor of the Year has shot the gap.

And I agree with the add in post above that the debacle is not the total result of a decision made in 2021 but tbf it was a decision not to spend a serious amount of coin on water infrastructure which if passed may have minimised the issues they face at the moment. 5 Years is a reasonable amount of time to carry out a project of the nature proposed. And more importantly, the money was available

Wellington has never had a lack of money problem, just a where it gets spent problem and in this case more on vanity projects than infrastructure.
But and it's a big, Wellingtonians deserve everything they voted for. ( I thought you were an Aucklander? What's with the Welly Love?)

 
Government spending doesn’t come from taxes.
Operationally, when the NZ Govt spends, Treasury instructs the RBNZ to credit settlement accounts at commercial banks.
New money is created at the point of spending.
Taxes withdraw money from the economy after the spending.
Bonds (β€œGovt debt”) manage the liquidity in the banking reserves system that spending creates. This is part of monetary policy.
Critically, neither taxes nor bonds fund spending.

The sequencing is explicit in RBNZ documentation.
Orthodox fiscal framing gets this sequencing wrong, which is why the debate keeps getting stuck on β€œwho pays” instead of β€œwhat’s possible”.

The Govt issues the currency. It can always meet obligations denominated in NZD.
The constraint isn’t tax revenue, gentailer dividends, or shareholder payouts.
It’s real resources: engineers, materials, project management capability, grid integration, and delivery capacity.

So the $14 billion Lake Onslow question isn’t β€œwhere does the money come from?” It’s whether it’s a good project and whether NZ has, or is willing to build, the capacity to deliver it without creating bottlenecks.
It's a resource and capability question, not a taxpayer one.
I guess the CBA will answer the questions.

IIR, that's what killed it back in the early 2000's. Bardsley is a smart guy though
 
Shit, I apologise. I didn't realise us Boomers were responsible for Wellingtons Sewage woes. I honestly meant to pay my rates when i was there.
Perhaps a closer look at the council make up over the last 20 years might explain a lot. Not too many Boomers on there but seems to be a rather Green tinge. Slightly less now that the Mayor of the Year has shot the gap.

And I agree with the add in post above that the debacle is not the total result of a decision made in 2021 but tbf it was a decision not to spend a serious amount of coin on water infrastructure which if passed may have minimised the issues they face at the moment. 5 Years is a reasonable amount of time to carry out a project of the nature proposed. And more importantly, the money was available

Wellington has never had a lack of money problem, just a where it gets spent problem and in this case more on vanity projects than infrastructure.
But and it's a big, Wellingtonians deserve everything they voted for. ( I thought you were an Aucklander? What's with the Welly Love?)

Pretty damning article. Ironic the most basket case council in the country is the most far left and Green council long criticised for making ideological lefty decisions.

This isn’t a govt/ 3 waters issue. This isn’t privatisation. This is poor decisions and priorities from a far left council/ group of decision makers piled up over many years.

Ironic those boring old conservative β€˜doing the basics right’ councils end up with the better environmental outcomes.
 
Hilarious :)

One is a renewable energy source, the other is a regression back to the stone age. No guessing which the righties on here love.
Really..... I don't know how many times I've stated on here that solar and batteries are the way to go until fusion reactors are commercially available.

The problem with hydro batteries is that they are parasitic in that 20-30% of the power they produce is used to power the system/pumps to put the water back into the higher reservoir (I.e. pumping water uphill). And that's before you even start to think of the environmental caused by water that heats up in a closed system and social damage.


At a cost saving of $12 billion between the two projects, I'd personally rather is the money spent on hospitals, schools, social welfare.... i.e. where it's actually needed.

Consider this... the Lake Onslow project would take 10 years to build. And, in those 10 years, NZ would have been reliant on coal generation from Huntly to back up the power generation... at over 1,000 gCO2e/kWh while burning LPG only provides 500 gCO2e/kWh.... in other words, the proposed plant could run for over 20 years before it would emit more CO2 than your so-called "green" option.
 
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