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Stepping back a bit, this is MMP.Something that Luxon should have considered before getting bent over
Since we had MMP, minor coalition partners have always lost support by the next election due to being partnered with a bigger partner.
The only way for ACT, NZ First, Greens and Maori party to survive government is to get a few issues that their voters love and blow them up to a big issue to define yourself. Look at NZ First and Act taking extreme views. Look at the Maori party doing the same at the opposite side.
MMP has created Trump style politics on the fringes. Evidence at every election is that it’s what must be done as a minor party to retain voters.