I would like to see the numbersThe current turnover of the existing services is $151m. It would take 20 years to pay back the $3b if all turnover (not just profit) was used towards the upfront capital investment.
Once you realise most of the $151m is passenger and cars then the rail component is absolutely tiny with a massive overkill cost to service. If you base it on the $13m profit it’s never going to pay for itself. It’s just not worth it and a massive over investment forcing huge upfront cost to cater for an irrelevant % of use.
You could probably increase traffic but it’s just completely and utterly uneconomic and subsidising a mode of transport that’s just not worth it.
My solution would be smaller more frequent ferries. High turnover/ low cost. Spend billions making mall type terminals compete with apartments as a mini transport hub where the shops/ apartments are sold to recover the upfront investment.
Containers are manually loaded but pushed towards costal shipping with a view to decreasing containers via road between islands.
Each day Southdown Freight Terminal in Auckland despatches several container wagon and bulk freight wagon unit trains to the South Island And the same unit trains Chch/ Auck.
Where the revenue is allocated for that haul task is the question
Is a segment of that revenue allocated at cost or plus margin as a revenue transfer to Interislander business unit - don’t know
The service Auck/Chch - Timaru- Oamaru - Dunedin- Invercargill is much much faster and cheaper ( today using using fully depreciated life expire ferries) than coastal vessels esp out of Auckland port and not Onehunga which is a wee bit quicker but limited by channel depth
So coastal doesn’t beat these unit trains
My memory says there is not that much land utilised at Wgtn rail ferry terminal
So yeah I don’t think leaky apartments and coffee shops at Wgtn achieve a lot.
Maybe the Nats want to defund Kiwi Rail.
But I tell you what rail works well - the road units allowed now are trashing the roads and crossing the centreline on corners everywhere- basically the size and number of truck units is too much mow
Rail is a hundred miles more environmentally friendly
Don’t know what the Nats are thinking - if one of these old life expired ferries has a mishap couple of years from now and there’s a loss of life the nats will wear it.