General Will we make the 8?

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The forum discussion centers on the New Zealand Warriors' prospects for NRL finals qualification, particularly the feasibility of securing a Top 4 or Top 8 spot amid fluctuating form and injuries. Early optimism highlighted the team's strong start to the season, with members calculating points targets for finals contention and analyzing favorable run-home fixtures against lower-ranked teams #1#3. User analysis emphasized that winning 6-7 of their remaining games could secure a Top 4 finish #3#97, while statistical models projected an 80.4% probability of Top 4 and 98.4% for Top 8 #47#52.
The narrative shifted significantly following key injuries to players like Mitchell Barnett season-ending and later Luke Metcalf, which intensified concerns about depth and performance sustainability #8#147#170. Critical posts debated the team's resilience, with some arguing replacements like Dylan Walker and Taine Tuaupiki could maintain competitiveness #29#177, while others warned that further injuries could jeopardize their ladder position #94#163.
Ladder predictions evolved throughout the thread, initially favoring a Top 2 push but later acknowledging challenges after losses to Penrith and Brisbane #132#154. The Raiders were frequently cited as minor premiership favorites due to their soft draw and bye advantages #64#135. By the later stages, the focus pivoted to securing any finals berth, with users noting that even 2 more wins should suffice for Top 8 qualification given the congested lower half of the ladder #203351#213. Noteworthy analyses included breakdowns of opposing teams’ run-home difficulty #66#139 and reflections on the psychological impact of late-season slumps #186#205.

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Finals Qualification, Injury Impact, Ladder Predictions

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I still see us finishing around 6-8, but the injuries are concerning.

Laban broken leg so essentially season done. Demetric possible MCL which would see him through till late rounds.

I just dont know what it js, maybe im the bad juju cause even mh nfl team falls like flies (49ers) 😂😂
 
To be honest fully fit I think we pretty much maxed out our talent. The only thing that could improve us next year is a breakout season by Jacob Laban similar to Leka this year.
I just could not disagree more.
Just off of the top of my head:

Our spine was just beginning to gel before the Metcalf injury. They'll be even better next year.

Demetric, Halasima, Laban and TSS are going to get even better next season as they solidify learnings from this season.

Healey and TT are getting better with every game.

I think putting Ali back into NSW grade will only improve him for next year.

I honestly don't think half of our guys have reached there potential yet.
Now if you meant we eeked out everything possible at this very moment in time then sure. But there is very few who I think have reached the peak of there talent.
 
I think it would take the most appalling of circumstances for the Warriors to not make the 8.
Top 4? Yep, that's a bit precarious right now and working on the basis that If You're Not Top 4 You're Not Premier Contenders, that's less than ideal.
But I think we're still headed for - at worst - a 5/6 Ending and therefore a guaranteed Home Final, albeit Emilination.

Hey, at 4PM Sunday the Bulldogs looked damn Not Worth Betting On Certainties to beat those Tigers and look how that turned out....
 
We’d need to lose nearly every game and the roosters, dolphins, broncos, sharks and panthers would all have to start winning. Which means storm raiders and bulldogs would have to have late season collapses as well - to miss the 8. We’d be very very unlucky to miss the 8 but we need 2 from the next 5 to guarantee it. Eels, dragons, dogs, sea eagles, titans. Realistically we can jag 4 out of 5. (The titans will beat us)
 
I think the way the draw is we have to make the 8 more or less and if we jag this next one against the dogs we are clear there run home is very hard and they are wobbly at best over the last month. Also we are 2 wins clear of next team to join the 8 and have some of the more easy games we have been competitive even In the slump
 
fair enough, look at it this way then, only one season in the last 10 years 30 points has not been enough to make the top 8. i think we make the 8 and we will win at least one of our last 5 fixtures
Yeah I don’t really disagree with you, although just remember that there’s one more bye round & 2 points since the Dolphins came into the comp.
 
Don't have much hope for the dogs game this weekend unless fish is back, but I have a feeling we'll be highly motivated to avenge last year's bloodbath at Ribina or Lucozade or whatever it is. That's one we could pick up, and Dragons. Eels are dangerous with Moses but beatable. Doubt it'll come down to the Manly game to decide our finals spot.
 
Don't have much hope for the dogs game this weekend unless fish is back, but I have a feeling we'll be highly motivated to avenge last year's bloodbath at Ribina or Lucozade or whatever it is. That's one we could pick up, and Dragons. Eels are dangerous with Moses but beatable. Doubt it'll come down to the Manly game to decide our finals spot.
I thought we'd want to avenge this week at Accor where TMM got slapped with a salmon?
 
Don't have much hope for the dogs game this weekend unless fish is back, but I have a feeling we'll be highly motivated to avenge last year's bloodbath at Ribina or Lucozade or whatever it is. That's one we could pick up, and Dragons. Eels are dangerous with Moses but beatable. Doubt it'll come down to the Manly game to decide our finals spot.
Dog's fans are really worried about this game. The Tigers loss stung them badly and admit they play better in dry conditions. It is our task to take advantage of that.
 
Dog's fans are really worried about this game. The Tigers loss stung them badly and admit they play better in dry conditions. It is our task to take advantage of that.
Dogs have been limping last month lost to broncos and tigers just snuck home against the dragons and cowboys we should still win this injurys included if we turn up to play when u go down the teams lists I think we win on paper
 
Dogs have been limping last month lost to broncos and tigers just snuck home against the dragons and cowboys we should still win this injurys included if we turn up to play when u go down the teams lists I think we win on paper
Though named at no7, Galvin is no certainty to play due to a hand injury.
 
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