I just read about sports science that relates to the Warriors and the NRL:
You have teams with varying degrees of consistency, often ravaged to their x-factor.
Many teams like the Warriors, Panther and Bulldogs aim for a consistent 8/10.
Other teams have up and down form, sometimes 6, sometimes 10 but average 8 as well.
The consistent teams are more likely to reach the finals as they will not drop games to lower teams and might catch better inconsistent teams on a day off. Variable teams across a season will sometimes drop to lower teams on an off day.
So it’s better to aim for consistency as the Warriors are doing.
EXCEPT come finals it statistically flips the consistent 8/10 teams will eventually hit a variable 10/10 team. And the some variable teams will crash out but others will hit form and blow the average ones out of the water - eg Broncos blowing the Panthers away in a 20 minutes burst.
This whole finals season has been a great example where the Bulldogs, Warriors and Panthers dropped away and 2 variable x-factor teams are in the grand final.
So as good as the Warriors strategy is for reaching the finals, it will be limiting come finals season. Sooner or later we need the high risk/ high reward x-factor players.
(Sure Panthers won 4 years in a row but they were consistently 10/10 with consistent but huge x-factor players and are the exception rather than the rule)