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NZWarriors.com

NZWarriors.com

NZWarriors.com

Doesn’t seem like it. Last permit was surrendered in 2021 apparently . Doubt any was done 2018 -2021. Especially with the govt signalling it was anti gas. Which is crazy since wind and solar need MORE gas to firm.
So no new permits, effectively a ban on new exploration, no better alternatives available and if there were, were incredibly cost prohibitive, supply dropped, prices rose and the previous government thought they better start on a transition plan away from gas, years after effectively banning it. As the article says, long term certainty and a plan goes a long way. Basically the complete opposite of what happened.
 

NZWarriors.com

NZWarriors.com

Solar, wind and battery/storage. Consented and under construction

It won’t shoot the lights out but we are planning on lower unit prices in the near term
So inflexible wind and solar and short term battery storage. Meaning you will be more reliant on gas as the price setter.

You guys have a great hedge with hydro, but wind+solar and batteries just means more gas. We are experiencing this pain in Australia right now.
 
@John Nick here’s a 30 day snapshot of the Aus market. As you can see battery and gas enjoy higher prices than coal. Solar and wind are both lower of course but that’s masked by the prices being negative (worthless) during peak supply.
IMG_2133.webp
 

NZWarriors.com

One of the main reason any government needed to review the RMA is that it was set at the lowest denominator and is extremely punitive. It basically assumed that every application was going to destroy the environment or an area of cultural significance or destroy the livability within a neighbourhood.

The other issue is the inflexibility within the Building Act meaning councils couldn’t control things like the area or volume of excavation, stormwater area controls, impervious and pervious areas couldn’t be controlled by a building consent but forcing people to get a resource consent.

Most other countries have moved their versions of the RMA to move beyond being punitive to understanding that a lot of their controls were limiting the explanation of green energy solutions. So they changed what applications needed approval (ie ones which adversely effect the environment or areas of cultural significance) but reduced/removed the need for their version off a resource consent for project such as green power generation projects along with the volume of information required for approval and who needed to be consulted or permission required.

Problem with NZ, is we’re too tribal and our major political parties aligned too much to their followers/ financial employers to do this properly. Labour didn’t go far enough in recognising the need to make it easier for green projects to be undertaken while National will be too willing to sacrifice the environment in the name of “progress” and “property rights”.

National went too far with the fast track process for projects and should have limited to only those projects like green energy which wouldn’t have effects on areas of cultural significance or the environment.

There was the opportunity for both parties to get it right….. but neither have/did. Too worried about the election cycle and their backers than to look at the best way to allow progress without cultural or environmental compromise.
 
One of the main reason any government needed to review the RMA is that it was set at the lowest denominator and is extremely punitive. It basically assumed that every application was going to destroy the environment or an area of cultural significance or destroy the livability within a neighbourhood.

The other issue is the inflexibility within the Building Act meaning councils couldn’t control things like the area or volume of excavation, stormwater area controls, impervious and pervious areas couldn’t be controlled by a building consent but forcing people to get a resource consent.

Most other countries have moved their versions of the RMA to move beyond being punitive to understanding that a lot of their controls were limiting the explanation of green energy solutions. So they changed what applications needed approval (ie ones which adversely effect the environment or areas of cultural significance) but reduced/removed the need for their version off a resource consent for project such as green power generation projects along with the volume of information required for approval and who needed to be consulted or permission required.

Problem with NZ, is we’re too tribal and our major political parties aligned too much to their followers/ financial employers to do this properly. Labour didn’t go far enough in recognising the need to make it easier for green projects to be undertaken while National will be too willing to sacrifice the environment in the name of “progress” and “property rights”.

National went too far with the fast track process for projects and should have limited to only those projects like green energy which wouldn’t have effects on areas of cultural significance or the environment.

There was the opportunity for both parties to get it right….. but neither have/did. Too worried about the election cycle and their backers than to look at the best way to allow progress without cultural or environmental compromise.
Learned a new term from an American commentator “right to build”
 

NZWarriors.com

@John Nick here’s a 30 day snapshot of the Aus market. As you can see battery and gas enjoy higher prices than coal. Solar and wind are both lower of course but that’s masked by the prices being negative (worthless) during peak supply.
View attachment 15121
Thanks Frank. My comment was to correct your statement about gas exploration being canceled by the previous government which was factually incorrect.
It was only NEW exploration permits that were not being accepted 😒.
I don't often post on the politics forum because of the misinformation that we have to put up with. Have a good one
 
I’ve been reading about how the world has entered a K shaped economy post COVID. This is where different groups or sectors split where areas of the economy rise (the upper arm of the K) while others fall (the lower arm).

The winners:
- very high income
- asset owners
- technology companies and workers

The losers:
- average and low wage workers
- Most small and medium businesses not exposed to tech

This has been caused by:
- rapid AI adoption
- high inflation
- high interest rates
- high skill shortage but low skill oversupply

Takeaways: Middle class (and success) used to be divided by income, now it’s by capital and investments. If you rely on income you cannot get ahead - you’re competing with global workers and technology that can outperform you. Wage growth globally has been below inflation since Covid.

Owners of stores of wealth (houses and investments) are sheltered as the inflation erodes earnings, assets still rise (CGT just makes capital owners equally poor instead of fixing the underlying issues).

Solution: Time. Simplified - Productivity gains from technology will eventually kick in lowering inflation to match wage inflation. The economy will further move to more service, entertainment and personalised jobs not able to be automated and not competing with overseas companies.
 
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