Predictions Market Who will be the Warriors top halfback in 2027?

[WAH MAN]

This is the discussion thread for the prediction market:

Who will be the Warriors top halfback in 2027?

Will Tanah maintain his top dog position to even still be here?

Will Luke regain his throne and see out his contract?

Will they both leave and open the door for someone else?

 

[FormerlyJamesW]

Just to clarify this;

If Tanah extends his contract, this resolves the market with the Tanah option winning, right?

 

[Inruin]

Just to clarify this;

If Tanah extends his contract, this resolves the market with the Tanah option winning, right?

I guess TMM could kill it for the rest of the year and start 2027 at 7?

Its a bit ambiguous in its wording. I mean is it anytime in 2027? is it the majority of 2027? is it round 1, 2027?

 

[FormerlyJamesW]

I guess TMM could kill it for the rest of the year and start 2027 at 7?

But TMM isn't the top dog, right?

The top dog would be the half, presumably, being paid the most money. The 'top half' may not be necessarily the one that's available; the Metcalf drama is proof of this.

 

[MrFrankWhite]

The top dog would be the half, presumably, being paid the most money

No

 

[FormerlyJamesW]

No

You make a compelling arguement.

 

[MrFrankWhite]

You make a compelling arguement.

You thesis would result in Metcalf currently being the top halfback of the 2026 Warriors. despite being 0-2 on the year.

 

[FormerlyJamesW]

You thesis would result in Metcalf currently being the top halfback of the 2026 Warriors. despite being 0-2 on the year.

1. Not a thesis. It's a hypothesis. I've seen the term thrown around a lot, and it's not the correct usage. Please stop.

2. This is an anomaly and you know it.

Regardless, if you have a better way of defining 'top dog', I'm all ears.

 

[MrFrankWhite]

1. Not a thesis. It's a hypothesis. I've seen the term thrown around a lot, and it's not the correct usage. Please stop.

2. This is an anomaly and you know it.

Regardless, if you have a better way of defining 'top dog', I'm all ears.

1. Was it a scientific question to be tested? Or was it a written word submitted to support your argument. Its hyperbole regardless so no.

2. Do you have the data to support the anomaly claim? Because I don’t agree.

Probably the half who takes the most reps in first grade x performance of said half.

 

[FormerlyJamesW]

1. Was it a scientific question to be tested? Or was it a written word submitted to support your argument. So no.

Two things it wasn't, was an academic document for a degree or the central point on an essay. So, yes.

2. Do you have the data to support the anomaly claim? Because I don’t agree.

Honestly, I started making a list to prove my point - but then I realized that I don't care that much about this. Happy to send the list through, but I get the feeling that we're just going to argue more about definitions and I can't be bothered.

I was just interested in some clarity around the prediction terms.

 

[Inruin]

I was just interested in some clarity around the prediction terms.

Yeah, need to be well defined and a timely, measurable outcome.

 

[tajhay]

Yeah, need to be well defined and a timely, measurable outcome.

Yep all markets should have clarity and an absolute way of determining what "top halfback" for example means. @WAH MAN can you please clarify.

 

[WAH MAN]

Happy to take suggestions to nail it down.

 

[Beastmode]

Happy to take suggestions to nail it down.

I’d like to see some audited financials please

 

[tajhay]

Id suggest something like who is the starting 7 for season 2027 Round 1 game. That to me is the person who is the top halfback.

Just realised i misread and bought Metcalf shares recently thinking this was for end of 2026 lol

 

[FormerlyJamesW]

Id suggest something like who is the starting 7 for season 2027 Round 1 game. That to me is the person who is the top halfback.

Just realised i misread and bought Metcalf shares recently thinking this was for end of 2026 lol

Is there a way of just resolving this market now and paying out the 'cost basis'?

Then create a new market with more specific terms?

Edit: Ask everyone else as well, who's in on it. Just seems like the fairest way to me.

 

[tajhay]

Is there a way of just resolving this market now and paying out the 'cost basis'?

Then create a new market with more specific terms?

Yeah there is. Everyone ok w that?

 

[WAH MAN]

Sounds good to me. Are you able to do it @tajhay ? Otherwise I'll look at fixing it after work

 

[tajhay]

Sounds good to me. Are you able to do it @tajhay ? Otherwise I'll look at fixing it after work

Yeah ill resolve it now. You van create new one when you get a chance

 

[CWC]

Shouldn't Metcalf's buyers be given a refund by now?