Predictions Market Superbowl 2026 Winner

[tajhay]

This is the discussion thread for the prediction market:

Superbowl 2026 Winner

Who will win the upcoming Superbowl?

Initial odds sourced from sportsbet.

 

[borgy]

Not really a fan of either team... but to take a punt.. Seahawkes for me... Patriots are lucky to be there, should of been Buffalo...

 

[MrFrankWhite]

5mins left in the 4th, SEA up 19-7. Odd are 82% here, nearly free money

 

[MrFrankWhite]

@Inruin with the mathematician play. 10% profit nearly 100% risk free

 

[Inruin]

@Inruin with the mathematician play. 10% profit nearly 100% risk free

Hopefully and slightly more than 10% but let's see

 

[MrFrankWhite]

Hopefully and slightly more than 10% but let's see

Would have given Pats ~ 5% at the time of posting. Would have to be < 1% now. 3 scores and 2 onside recoveries.

 

[Evil_Mush]

Gotta love NFL, last time I checked stuff for updates about an hour ago, there was 12 minutes left in the game. Checked again a few minutes ago and there was apparently still 2 minutes left in the game

Yay sports!

 

[Jaffa J]

Seahawks were always winning this top defence and Patriots had an easy schedule all year

 

[MrFrankWhite]

old @tajhay dodgier than my fantasy football league manager . Screenshotted for future blackmail purposes

 

[Inruin]

@tajhay with the late bets before closing

 

[jonesy101]

Bad Bunny was the winner today. Still have no idea what I was watching and I'm not talking about the football.

 

[tajhay]

cmon guys i was just testing the process

But hope you guys understand how it all works now....even if its at 99% close to closing time...buy the winning share, and sell the other shares as you can still make some cash.

All balances will be reset anyway before the real bets start so i will have to launder my illgotten NZW cash somewhere else lol

 

[MrFrankWhite]

even if its at 99% close to closing time...buy the winning share, and sell the other shares as you can still make some cash.

there is a premium to sell though right? My AKP bet is

Current Value$852.34
Est. Exit Value$801.16 (+$1.16 / +0.1%)

 

[tajhay]

there is a premium to sell though right? My AKP bet is

Current Value$852.34
Est. Exit Value$801.16 (+$1.16 / +0.1%)

Estimated exit value is what you would receive if you sold all now, resulting in a profit of around ~1.16. I suppose someone has bought on that outcome since you bought it.

The game does not take any additional cut from trades i.e. 1% or whatever.

 

[Noitall]