I'd switch Melbourne and Canberra around. Given the softness of their remaining draw, I'd still say Canberra are odds on to finish minor premiers given the softness of their draw. That would mean that finishing 3rd (4th) would send us to Melbourne (Canberra) in week 1. So our rd 23 game against the dogs could be the deciding game in determining our week 1 destination.NRL prediction
Personally, I'd rather play Canberra. We went very close to beating them not too long ago. Melbourne at their peak would put a cricket score on any of the remaining 7 teams in the finals.