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On the moneyball tip, I likey.Looking a little deeper with for and against for those games as well.
Here's a process I'd like Kearney to follow:
Win Loss Ratio for players who haven't played every game this year:
CNK 50%, 4 games
Mannering 45%, 11 games
Foran 44%, 9 games
Sao 43%, 7 games
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck/Maumalo 42%, 12 games
Gavet/Ayshford 40%, 10 games
Vete/Roach 40%, 5 games
Gub 37.5%, 8 games
Lillyman 33%, 12 games
Matulino 33%, 6 games
Kata 30%, 10 games
Afoa 29%, 7 games
Lolohea 25%, 4 games
Everyone else is on 38% from 13 games or not really featuring.
The process is to hammer this stat into the players heads and make sure they know that winning is most important for future contract negotiations and getting selected.
Looking a little deeper with for and against for those games as well.
For example our for and against with Manners in the team is -2.5 per game, and without him in the team it's -12 per game.
A 9.5 point positive difference.
Lolohea, In -9.5 per game, out -1.9 per game. 7.6 point negative difference.
Kata, In -5.4, out +1 (ouch). 6.4 point negative.
CNK, In -1.25, out -5. 3.75 point positive.
Foran, In -1.5, Out -9.5. 8 point positive.
Sao, In -3, Out -5. 2 point positive.
Gub, In -6.8, Out -0.5. 6.3 point negative.
Afoa, In -6.3, Out -1.2. 5.1 point negative.
Matulino, In -3.2, Out -4.5. 1.3 point positive.
So for all you myth busters Afoa shouldn't be selected for his defense. And neither should Gub. Sao is a good player. Kata needs to follow Lolohea out the door. And we're royally screwed without Mannering and Foran.
Lillyman missed out on the gravy game vs the Broncos reserve grade team so maybe a little unfair, but here it is.
In -5.75, Out +18. 23.75 point negative.Sort your shit out Bull.
But considering the game he did play in his team got smashed by more, so maybe not completely unfair. If you average it out for him then his total season for and against is -7.2 points per game vs a Warriors season ave -3.9 points for and against.
This a brutal but awesome (IMO) way of measuring an individuals performance. Because they have to lift the teams total stats to lift their own personal stats. But as you can see with Lillyman it takes more than a few games to get an accurate estimate.
Moral of the story. Don't get dropped or get injured, because if you do you'll fall under this spotlight.
It's pretty simple tho. CNK 50%, Kata 30%. 50 beats 30. A 3 year old can understand that.Smashing aplayers with stats when half of them cant do maths is pointless.
Thats not how you build loyalty and passion.
It's pretty simple tho. CNK 50%, Kata 30%. 50 beats 30. A 3 year old can understand that.
If Kata wants to get his rate up the only way is to help the team win footy games. If he can't do that, then he's got no right to hold his place in the team.
Loyalty to the fans is more important IMO. Then we get passionate and they feel awesome. It's real simple
I can see what you're getting at, to try to get a more accurate reading on each players effect on the teams performance.what is the win loss record of the team each has played against?
did they play origin affected clubs?
"And I know it sounds like I say the same things every week, but that's the reality and that's consistency."
But that's what stats can do for a player. They can help them focus their minds on what's important.It's an interesting theory but these guys heads look like they're full to the brim, they need to declutter and just get back to basics i.e run hard, tackle hard.
There's clearly a limited capacity to process information for a lot of these players. Not saying they're dumb but they're not the brightest crayons in the box.
But that's what stats can do for a player. They can help them focus their minds on what's important.
If Kata can see that the team wins 8% less and concedes an extra 6 points when he's playing, maybe it'll motivate him to get better.
Confidence comes from two sources. One from is competence, and the other is delusion.I hear where your coming from mate, the question I have is can these guys process that information and lift their performance accordingly or doe's it just add another layer of pressure keeping in my we're dealing with some fairly fragile minds.
Remember a lot of these players got to where they are through natural talent and the confidence that comes with that not through improving their performance week to week via statistical analysis and mental fortitude.
08 May
Compiled from 13 ratings