General NZ Warriors 2014 Season Draw

That is a tough as draw IMO- 3 of the first 4 games are playing new look teams with something to prove plus the Cowboys in 30+ degrees FFS and Tigers and Dragons tend to start the season well as a habit..- Our easiest if you can call any of them easy seems to be the raiders at home rnd 9..I wish we were playing the Dragons at the Mt..
The Eels look tough as shit having picked up the players they were missing, their spine stands out for me and will either be astonishingly good or agonisingly bad.
They seem to have picked up the players that will ease the pressure on Sandow on the field or pressure him for a spot, but I would be surprised if they didn't start that game with him and Norman in the halves, good depth signings in the halves in Ben Jones and Justin Hunt both are pretty good halves/utilities.
I wonder if a move to centre is being contemplated with Hayne after his WC showing and having Hopoate allows them to do that, it could be the other way around though,geezus they have some depth in the backs, It will be interesting to see how that backline comes together, they have some real speed and power available for that backline.
Their pack with Peats leading it will be completely different beast to what they have been.. Mossop comes with big wraps and Gower is a good signing, under rated player, adding to a rotation of Moimoi, Mannah, Lussik, Paulo( I like this kid)
They haves some great up and coming backrowers in Terepo,Paulo,Pauli and Tanginoa, write off the Eels at your own peril..
..
The Eels round 1, we will need to win this one and the following against the Dragons or it could be real bad news for the rest of the season, as we don't have that great a draw as some have made out, we are playing far too many wounded beasts and it will be hard to gauge exactly how we are faring as a team until we have had that run from rounds 3-8,Cows at home OMG,Tigers in Welly pffft, Sharks at home aahhh, Bulldogs at Eden park FFS, Dragons at the Gong WTF, The Storm in Melbs- in recent seasons the Storm in Melbourne is our best ground, the rest are fecking graveyards..
If we don't don't win one of those first 2 games, we could be breaking records again..
 
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looking forward to the first round game against the Eels to see how both teams are shaping up. Eels were a write off last year but they seem to have a couple of things happening in their favour now and, by all accounts, Anderson (who was our most successful Coach so far) is a man on a mission
 

eudebrito

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Contributor
Obviously can’t say for sure until later on in the season, and it becomes clear who is having a good year and who isn’t, but based on how the teams went last year, the warriors have been handed the easiest draw out of everyone. Literally the only way they could have made it easier was have 2 games against the Tigers.

The best team (from last year) they have to play twice is Cronulla, which may or may not be able to field a proper first grade side by the time the season starts, next best was Canterbury, who have generously decided to play their home game a short trip down the motorway from Mt Smart. The trip to Perth will be tough, but they get the bye straight after it.

In June-July they have 5 weeks without having to leave Auckland, (3 home games, split between 2 byes).
They get 3 sets of back to back games in NZ (rds 9-10, 15-16-18, 24-25) and only one in Aus (rds 7-8)
They never have to play any of the ‘top’ teams back to back, the hardest 2 game bit they have is probably Knights (a) Roosters (h). Broncos (a) followed by Manly (h) not easy either.

None of this really means anything when it comes to the warriors, fully capable of winning 8 of 11 against the top 8 teams from last year and 4 of 13 against the also-rans, ending up 12-12 for the year and either scraping into 8 or just missing out. In fact you’d almost predict it. But they could not have asked for an easier path to making the finals.
 
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[quote="eudebrito, post: 111596, member: 904"But they could not have asked for an easier path to making the finals.[/quote]

That's true. But there's still part of me that would prefer to see the Warriors play the Roosters, Rabbitohs and Sea Eagles twice. Of course, that part of me isn't bigger than the part of me who wants to see the Warriors in the finals...

Now all we need is no-one to break anything in a pre-season game or, even worse, a pre-season training session....
 

mt.wellington

Warriors Orange Peeler
Sorry if this has been posted already but nrl.com has done a run down on the 2014 draw and got us as having the easiest. This year they ranked us as having the hardest...

How tough is your team's draw?
By Chris Kennedy

NRL.com

3:15pm Wed 04th December, 2013
awww.nrl.com_Portals_NRL_images_35_35277_20_1.jpg

The Warriors had a tough fixture list in 2013 but are one of the big winners from the 2014 NRL Draw.

Things won't get any easier in 2014 for the luckless Eels or Tigers but there is good news for the Warriors under the new 2014 draw.

NRL.com analysed the match-ups across 26 rounds for all 16 NRL clubs in 2014 and assigned a "difficulty ranking" based on the toughness of the opposition they will face, based on each team's performances in 2013.

With 16 clubs, 26 rounds and two byes per side, it means each team plays every other team once, with a second game against nine of the 15 possible opposition clubs.

If your club faces tough repeat games against the likes of the Roosters, Souths and Melbourne but only gets one crack at the "easier" opposition such as Parramatta, Wests Tigers and the Dragons, it could be deemed to have a tougher draw than a side that has the majority of its repeat games against teams that finished lower on the ladder last season.

Under our system, each side was assigned a "difficulty ranking" as opposition based on where they finished in 2013, with the minor premiers and eventual champions Sydney Roosters assigned a maximum 16 out of 16, and wooden-spooners Parramatta assigned the lowest score of 1 out of 16. We've used those rankings to determine the toughness of each side's run in 2014 – though obviously there is no guarantee a team that was deemed "easy" in 2013 won't improve in 2014 and vice versa.

Looking back at last season, we found the Panthers had the "easiest" draw in 2013, with a total difficulty score of 188. Just three of Penrith's nine extra games were against sides that finished in the top eight. At the other end of the scale, the Warriors had the toughest run last season with a difficulty score of 224, having five of nine repeat games against eventual finalists – and those five opponents were the top five finishers in the league. By contrast, the Warriors did not get a second crack at any of the lowest three finishers.

So who should find things significantly easier or tougher in 2014?

Well there's good news for Warriors fans, with a toughness score of 191 – the equal lowest. Of 2013 finalists, they have repeat games against just three sides: the Knights, Sharks and Bulldogs, but crucially not the Roosters, Rabbitohs, Storm or Sea Eagles.

Meanwhile reigning wooden spooners the Eels have a draw difficulty score of 223 – the second-toughest run in the competition. They have repeat games against six of 2013's eight finalists: the Roosters, Rabbitohs, Sharks, Bulldogs, Knights and Cowboys. In fact they get the Roosters twice and Sea Eagles once inside the opening six rounds! Things aren't any better for the Tigers, who also have six repeat games against 2013 finals sides and the toughest draw rating of 225.

So how has your club fared this season? Our rankings are below, ordered from the hardest draw to the easiest.

2014 draw difficulty (hardest to easiest)
1 – Wests Tigers
(difficulty score of 225, six repeat games against top-eight teams)
2 – Eels (223, six)
3 – Broncos (220, six)
4 – Dragons (218, four)
5 – Sea Eagles (208, six)
=6 – Bulldogs (204, four)
=6 – Raiders (204, four)
8 – Roosters (201, six)
9 – Knights (200, four)
10 – Storm (199, four)
11 – Panthers (198, four)
12 – Cowboys (197, four)
13 – Titans (193, three)
14 – Rabbitohs (192, four)
=15 – Sharks (191, four)
=15 – Warriors (191, three)

2013 draw difficulty
1 - Warriors (224, five)
2 - Raiders (222, six)
3 - Tigers (213, five)
=4 - Eels (212, four)
=4 - Rabbitohs (212, six)
6 - Bulldogs (211, six)
7 - Titans (208, five)
=8 - Dragons (201, four)
=8 - Cowboys (201, four)
10 - Sea Eagles (200, four)
11 - Knights (199, four)
12 - Storm (196, four)
13 - Broncos (195, four)
14 - Roosters (192, four)
15 - Sharks (190, four)
16 - Panthers (188, three)

https://www.nrl.com/how-tough-is-your-teams-draw/tabid/10874/newsid/75666/default.aspx
 
Ah, but what did the 2013 draw difficulty look like when compared to the 2012 finishes - that is the true comparison.[DOUBLEPOST=1387339927][/DOUBLEPOST]The reason we played all the top eight teams twice last year was because teams that played us twice had a better chance of making the eight than teams that only played us once.
 
the "11AM" was removed from the NRL website about 2pm our time - ie 12PM AEST. Now it just says "Thursday 3 July". There's still people on LU going "Oh, yay, three Thursday home games! That's greeaaaaaatt" because of the NRL's stupidity in giviing each game the same start time - Thursday 7:00PM or Friday 7:30PM - on their draw originally (it now says TBC like it should have to start with).

The Rd 26 game against the Panthers might make a Friday slot, given how well the Panthers are going this year. I'd predict 1 Saturday 7:30 game, the rest Sunday games. At a pinch they might give us a Friday for the Roosters game but I'm not expecting it.

Edit: Plot thickening: The grand announcement about the draw on the NRL website has gome from:
"11am AEST Thursday 3rd July" to "Thursday 3rd July" to now "Thursday".

The next logical step from this is "the Thursday of each particular round" culminating in "We'll tell you about an hour beforehand".
 
the "11AM" was removed from the NRL website about 2pm our time - ie 12PM AEST. Now it just says "Thursday 3 July". There's still people on LU going "Oh, yay, three Thursday home games! That's greeaaaaaatt" because of the NRL's stupidity in giviing each game the same start time - Thursday 7:00PM or Friday 7:30PM - on their draw originally (it now says TBC like it should have to start with).

The Rd 26 game against the Panthers might make a Friday slot, given how well the Panthers are going this year. I'd predict 1 Saturday 7:30 game, the rest Sunday games. At a pinch they might give us a Friday for the Roosters game but I'm not expecting it.

Edit: Plot thickening: The grand announcement about the draw on the NRL website has gome from:
"11am AEST Thursday 3rd July" to "Thursday 3rd July" to now "Thursday".

The next logical step from this is "the Thursday of each particular round" culminating in "We'll tell you about an hour beforehand".


Now it has disapeared completely