General 2018 Warriors Draw

mrblonde

Warriors 1st Grader
Apr 14, 2012
3,859
Auckland
Freakin' NRL, giving us games against bloody NRL teams...

Agree with Matulino#1 - getting easy draws hasn't inspired the team to make the finals, maybe a hard one will.

Just pleased the NRL now have full control of the draw and all the dates and times are known. Don't miss the old "TV will give you the dates and times of five games a month in advance" days.
 

WellingtonOrca

1st Grade Fringe
Aug 14, 2012
1,587
So the important ones for the Warriors


Bye before Origin 1, Manly After
Standalone round for Origin 2 (Sun 24th) so no one will miss any players
Panthers before Origin 3, Brisbane After

Could have been better. Here's hoping Cleary is a bolter for NSW
 
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Johnnyray

1st Grade Fringe
Oct 11, 2014
2,298
Awesome.

So with 2018 NRL Draw now out what is everybody's prediction for next year ?

1 Sat March 10 | 4.00pm | Rabbitohs, nib Stadium, Perth - Loss

2 Sat March 17 | 5.00pm | Titans, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

3 Sat March 24 | 3.00pm | Raiders, GIO Stadium, Canberra - Loss

4 Sat March 31 | 5.30pm | Roosters, Allianz Stadium, Sydney - Loss

5 Sat April 7 | 7.30pm (doubleheader) | Cowboys, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

6 Sat April 14 | 5.00pm | Broncos, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

7 Fri April 20 | 8.00pm | Dragons, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

8 Wed April 25 | 7.00pm | Storm, AAMI Park, Melbourne - Loss (Stephen Kearney Sacked)

9 Sat May 5 | 7.30pm | Wests Tigers, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

10 Sat May 12 | 5.00pm | Roosters, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

11 Fri May 18 | 6.00pm | Eels, ANZ Stadium, Sydney - Loss

12 Sat May 26 | 7.30pm | Rabbitohs, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

13 BYE


14 Sat June 9 | 5.00pm | Sea Eagles, AMI Stadium, Christchurch - Win

15 Fri June 15 | 6.00pm | Cowboys, 1300SMILES Stadium, Townsville - Loss

16 Fri June 29 | 8.00pm | Sharks, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

17 Fri July 6 | 7.50pm | Panthers, Panthers Stadium, Penrith - Win

18 Sun July 15 | 2.00pm | Broncos, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane - Loss

19 Sun July 22 | 4.00pm | Storm, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

20 Sun July 29 | 2.00pm | Titans, Cbus Super Stadium, Robina - Loss

21 Sat August 4 | 3.00pm | Dragons, WIN Stadium, Wollongong - Win

22 Fri August 10 |8.00pm | Knights, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

23 Sun August 19 | 2.00pm | Bulldogs, ANZ Stadium, Sydney - Draw

24 Fri August 24 | 8.00pm | Panthers, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

25 Fri August 31 | 8.00pm | Raiders, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

So I have NZ Warriors winning 6 of our 25 games, losing 18 of them and drawing 1 giving us 15 premiership points on ladder when you include the bye.

Yeah really don't want to say it guys but I think we're going to get wooden spoon next year. Which is sort of ironic considering how alot of the times this year I would of rather jammed a large wooden spoon up my ass than watch a NZ Warriors game as it's kind of pain I would rather inflict on myself ... ;)
 

Sup42

Warriors 1st Grader
May 7, 2012
19,916
Broncos, Storm, Roosters and Cowboys twice
Dragons twice is probably the worst of it.

Like the rest I'm glad they have a tough draw. They will need to be significantly better next year if they are to remotely have a chance of being in the top half.
 
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eudebrito

|-|
Contributor
May 21, 2013
3,771
gee i used to enjoy poring over the draw, can't be bothered anymore. Its a tough start, but not that bad at the finish.

its weird how many x2 home games followed by x2 away games they have. they used to complain about being away from home for too long, but i always thought not wasting a full day going back to auckland and then back out again would have been worthwhile. at least once a year.
 
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1995Warriorsfan

Player Agent
Contributor
Feb 22, 2016
1,436
How tough is your club's 2018 draw?

Thu 19 Oct, 2017, 10:01am
By Dominic Brock, Production Editor‌‌, ‌‌‌NRL.com

The Roosters may have the most generous fixture list in 2018, while the Warriors will be tested against the best on the road to the finals according to analysis of next season's NRL Telstra Premiership draw.

Determining which clubs have a "hard" or "easy" draw is a complicated question – travel, time between matches and State of Origin scheduling are all factors – but a simple way to look at the difficulty of each team's draw is by looking at their opponents.

A 25-round competition with one bye means each club plays nine other teams twice and six teams just once, so some clubs could be said to have easier draws than others.

Note that a "tougher" draw isn't necessarily a bad thing – sure it might hurt your chances of sneaking into the finals but if your team can make the top eight they'll arguably be more battle hardened, having already played a lot of matches against strong sides (see North Queensland's surprise run to the grand final after enduring a tough draw in 2017).

Also, there's an obvious advantage for the better teams when analysing draws like this – because highly-rated teams like the Roosters and Melbourne Storm can't play against themselves.

That being said, here's how each club's draws rank, toughest to easiest, based on premiership betting for the 2018 season.


1. Warriors (234 points)
2. Titans (226)
=3. Sharks (218)
=3. Bulldogs (218)
=3. Wests Tigers (218)
=6. Sea Eagles (216)
=6. Knights (216)
8. Cowboys (208)
9. Rabbitohs (207)
10. Broncos (205)
11. Dragons (202)
12. Eels (191)
13. Panthers (190)
14. Raiders (189)
15. Storm (180)
16. Roosters (170)

Full 2018 NRL Telstra Premiership Draw

How did we work these out? Each NRL team was attributed a score out of 16, based on their ranking in premiership betting. Current dual premiership favourites the Storm and Roosters were both valued at 16 points, while wooden spoon favourites the Wests Tigers were valued at 1 point.

We then went through each club's 2018 draw and added up the total score of all their opponents for the season to come up with their "draw toughness" score.

The Warriors will play a string of big games, including two matches against each of the Roosters, Storm, Cowboys and Broncos. At the other end of the scale the Roosters and Storm only play against each other once, and the Roosters only have one game (at home) against the Cowboys.

The Bulldogs have the toughest first half of the season, facing the five highest-rated teams within the opening nine rounds, but if they can get through that they do have the "easiest" second half of the campaign in terms of opponents. It's a similar story for the Wests Tigers, who start the season with games against each of last season's top four teams but finish with nine of their last 10 games coming against teams that missed the finals in 2017.

The Broncos meanwhile have a relatively smooth start to the campaign but face the toughest second half of the year on our draw toughness scale.
 
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AlexM

1st Grade Fringe
Feb 19, 2017
2,041
Top eight I hope.
I think we will land around 10-6
If we land below 10 Kearney won't make it and we will be doomed to another 2-3 years of shit.
Or bellamy lolz
 
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WarriorBall

Guest
The negative is obvious, that run of away games against tough sides but on the positive our home games are all at Mt Smart. Taking home games away to Dunedin/Taranaki etc in the past was hurting us so I'm happy enough to see they've put an end to that at least for now.

One thing about the Warriors is they'll take any easy out if you show them one so the fact our draw is ranked the worst of all the clubs means they'll have to work hard for success and nothing will be handed to them. Kearney & Co should be using it to demand improvement from the players in preseason.
 
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gREVUS

Long live the Rainbows and Butterflies
Contributor
May 8, 2012
8,558
Brisbane still has the most free-to-air games with 16 - but their matches on a Thursday or Friday night have dropped from 18 to 13.
Eleven teams have 10 free-to-air matches or more, while Auckland will have five and Newcastle four of the mostly unpopular Friday 6pm timeslot.
The Warriors have just one free-to-air game, while last year's wooden-spooners Newcastle will have two.
"For broadcast and our partners it is about commerciality," Greenberg said.

Sydney derbies dominate 'fairer' 2018 NRL draw - Scott Bailey - AAP - Thursday, 19 October 2017

Man am i glad i have a way of watching without having to go back to foxtel.

another point in the article was about the 4 teams that travel the least.

A focus on Sydney derbies means the likes of St George Illawarra, Sydney Roosters and Canterbury only play outside NSW four times all season.
* The Roosters do not leave Sydney until round 10, while they only leave Sydney once over their closing seven games -- away to Canberra in round 23
 

gREVUS

Long live the Rainbows and Butterflies
Contributor
May 8, 2012
8,558
The negative is obvious, that run of away games against tough sides but on the positive our home games are all at Mt Smart. Taking home games away to Dunedin/Taranaki etc in the past was hurting us so I'm happy enough to see they've put an end to that at least for now..
Not sure the warriors ever took that many games away in the first place. If you exclude the games at eden park, there was what a total of 2? The rest were all home games for someone else werent they?
 

flying coconut

1st Grade Fringe
Jul 21, 2012
1,040
Brisbane still has the most free-to-air games with 16 - but their matches on a Thursday or Friday night have dropped from 18 to 13.
Eleven teams have 10 free-to-air matches or more, while Auckland will have five and Newcastle four of the mostly unpopular Friday 6pm timeslot.
The Warriors have just one free-to-air game, while last year's wooden-spooners Newcastle will have two.
"For broadcast and our partners it is about commerciality," Greenberg said.

Sydney derbies dominate 'fairer' 2018 NRL draw - Scott Bailey - AAP - Thursday, 19 October 2017

Man am i glad i have a way of watching without having to go back to foxtel.

another point in the article was about the 4 teams that travel the least.

A focus on Sydney derbies means the likes of St George Illawarra, Sydney Roosters and Canterbury only play outside NSW four times all season.
* The Roosters do not leave Sydney until round 10, while they only leave Sydney once over their closing seven games -- away to Canberra in round 23

Well we have been fully shafted as per usual, not that it is going to make much difference.

Titans will improve under Brennan and they are the only team threatening to be worse than us next year.
 

WarriorBall

Guest
Not sure the warriors ever took that many games away in the first place. If you exclude the games at eden park, there was what a total of 2? The rest were all home games for someone else werent they?

Yeah your right most of them were away games for us but for those that weren't I'm just thinking why give the opposition a leg up, why give them any kind of a sniff .... anyway glad it's done with.
 

tajhay

Negative Nancy
Mar 30, 2012
10,099
Sydney
Well we have been fully shafted as per usual, not that it is going to make much difference.
In the past 6 years we had atleast two years where we had amongst the most favourable of draws.
 
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mrblonde

Warriors 1st Grader
Apr 14, 2012
3,859
Auckland
Awesome.

So with 2018 NRL Draw now out what is everybody's prediction for next year ?


So I have NZ Warriors winning 6 of our 25 games, losing 18 of them and drawing 1 giving us 15 premiership points on ladder when you include the bye.

Yeah really don't want to say it guys but I think we're going to get wooden spoon next year. Which is sort of ironic considering how alot of the times this year I would of rather jammed a large wooden spoon up my ass than watch a NZ Warriors game as it's kind of pain I would rather inflict on myself ... ;)

1 Sat March 10 | 4.00pm | Rabbitohs, nib Stadium, Perth - Win

2 Sat March 17 | 5.00pm | Titans, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

3 Sat March 24 | 3.00pm | Raiders, GIO Stadium, Canberra - Loss

4 Sat March 31 | 5.30pm | Roosters, Allianz Stadium, Sydney - Win

5 Sat April 7 | 7.30pm (doubleheader) | Cowboys, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

6 Sat April 14 | 5.00pm | Broncos, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

7 Fri April 20 | 8.00pm | Dragons, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

8 Wed April 25 | 7.00pm | Storm, AAMI Park, Melbourne - Win

9 Sat May 5 | 7.30pm | Wests Tigers, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

10 Sat May 12 | 5.00pm | Roosters, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

11 Fri May 18 | 6.00pm | Eels, ANZ Stadium, Sydney - Win

12 Sat May 26 | 7.30pm | Rabbitohs, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

13 BYE


14 Sat June 9 | 5.00pm | Sea Eagles, AMI Stadium, Christchurch - Loss

15 Fri June 15 | 6.00pm | Cowboys, 1300SMILES Stadium, Townsville - Loss

16 Fri June 29 | 8.00pm | Sharks, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

17 Fri July 6 | 7.50pm | Panthers, Panthers Stadium, Penrith - Loss

18 Sun July 15 | 2.00pm | Broncos, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane - Loss

19 Sun July 22 | 4.00pm | Storm, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Loss

20 Sun July 29 | 2.00pm | Titans, Cbus Super Stadium, Robina - Win

21 Sat August 4 | 3.00pm | Dragons, WIN Stadium, Wollongong - Loss

22 Fri August 10 |8.00pm | Knights, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

23 Sun August 19 | 2.00pm | Bulldogs, ANZ Stadium, Sydney - Win

24 Fri August 24 | 8.00pm | Panthers, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

25 Fri August 31 | 8.00pm | Raiders, Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland - Win

Making 30 pts, including the Bye. Finals footy, here we come! We might be unfortunate to miss out on Top 4 by points differential, but much more likely by competition pts. 5-6 is where we end up. So, helloooo Finals game at MSS.
 
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