Album: Can They Make The 8 – And Does It Matter If They Do?
Throwing this out there, first thread I have created, let me know if this has been posted elsewhere.<br /> <br /> These kind of posts can only really be done after a good victory, after a bad loss the answer has is, “Nah, they will lose 2 out of every 3 games and come in 13th”<br /> <br /> Was playing around with the nrl.com ladder predictor at work this morning (great time waster that) the boys are a chance, and it’s not as far-fetched as I thought.<br /> No team has made the top 8 with less than 28 points since 2007. With their shoddy points for/against, I think this is the minimum they will need. They are currently on 8 pts upcoming byes takes it to 12.<br /> <br /> There are 14 games remaining. They would need to win 8 of them to get to 28 pts.<br /> 8 out of 14 doesn't sound too bad right? after what we saw last night? Well…<br /> <br /> Rd 13 Sea Eagles (H)<br /> Rd 14 Roosters (A)<br /> Rd 15 bye<br /> Rd 16 Broncos (H)<br /> Rd 17 Rabbits (A, Perth)<br /> Rd 18 bye<br /> Rd 19 Tigers (A)<br /> Rd 20 Storm (H)<br /> Rd 21 Sharks (H)<br /> Rd 22 Sea Eagles (A)<br /> Rd 23 Panthers (H)<br /> Rd 24 Titans (A)<br /> Rd 25 Raiders (H)<br /> Rd 26 Dragons (A)<br /> <br /> <br /> That’s a pretty tough draw, see how many wins you all think they can get out of that lot, I’ll give them (semi-realistically) 7 of 14 and just missing the 8 on 26 points. They really need one of the next 2, i'm thinking manly at home are more likely than roosters away. Even if they win all their home games (possible) they would need 3 of 6 on the road.<br /> <br /> But how much of a difference does it make to come 8th (with a small chance of making another GF) than it is to come 10th and hope for better next year?<br /> It's going to be really hard to advance far with no home playoff games, the start of the season has put paid to that.<br /> <br /> After the debacle at the end of last year, you would have to call a top 8 berth a pretty big success - but should we expect more?